I keep thinking about that attempt I made to characterize people I get along with, a few days ago. There’s a specific thing there but I’m just not sure how to phrase it.
It’s like a sort of … feeling that the world is bigger than you, and very complicated, and filled with things you’d never expect. It’s not exactly “skepticism,” and not exactly “humility.” It’s compatible with having a high view of oneself or one’s intellect, though not with certain versions of those things. It’s compatible with strong and numerous opinions, too, though not with certain ways of having strong and numerous opinions.
It’s having your most instinctive response to the world be “this is billions of distinct things; this is jeweled chaos; this is a buzzing, blooming confusion.” And then you make models and concepts to try to make some sense of it. Sometimes you become quite attached to them. Sometimes maybe too attached. But if you become too attached it’s not because you think your concepts are reality. It’s because you feel you’ll be so terribly lost without them.
When I try to think of the opposite of this temperament I think of those sorts of political or culture bloggers who are never surprised by anything, who always respond to every news story with “oh, look, more of the thing I know about, doing the things I know it does.” It’s not that these people are too political, or too certain. It’s that their politics and certainty doesn’t feel like a lifeboat they’re clinging to in a vast roiling ocean. They give off the impression of not seeing the ocean.
And lots of things follow from this. You have to find ways of living with this ever-present sense – sometimes dulled, but never gone – that reality is too large, grotesquely large, that you’ll never find your way in it. So you learn to revel in it a bit, to become an eclectic, an amateur, collecting and admiring little bits of jeweled chaos. You collect #quotes. You learn to laugh when you see something you don’t understand, so that you don’t instead despair.
You feel wary about systems, you feel wary about things that are top-down and a priori. You like data. But not in the sense of “the data is in”; not in the sense that we have measured, so now we know, and now no one can ever question again. But you are always worrying that you are missing the forest for the trees, because there are so many trees, too many, too many. You distrust the single event, the dramatic example, because you know that reality has room for everything, because you have enough such specimens pinned and mounted in your collection to prove any claim or its negation. You want the species, not the specimen – but you feel deep down that that has to be hubris, because all you see are specimens, and the great whirling confusion laughs at your taxonomies.
You come to observation, to experimentation, to something like science, even to something like positivism, not out of a zeal for the general but because you know the particular will wash over you and crush you. When the concepts are stripped away everything is laughter and awe and horror and you bring the concepts back, not to perfect life, but simply to bear it. And you tend to your collection.
I’ve always thought of the thing most “grey tribe but not necessarily rationalist-associating” people possess to be Nietzscheanism.
First, I think everyone you’re describing here has what people call a systematizing tendency: a desire for the world to have pattern and meaning. I think there is a baser level to this, though: a fundamental desire to perceive the “truth” of events and of workings, even through your inadequate sensory apparatus. It’s necessary, when you don’t have all the facts neatly laid out, to use your brain—specifically, to apply knowledge of patterns in the truth of things—to derive the truth, or at least something that is the closest to truth that you can get from the data you have. And so, from this desire for understanding, comes a desire for pattern-knowledge.
Following from that comes the belief—entirely implicit in your description—that nobody else has “the answer”; that nobody else’s imposed epistemic structure can be taken on faith. Most people come to pattern-knowledge as “common wisdom” or “religious teachings” or whatever else. But if you have already formed a desire for patterns that will help you comprehend truth before you get this exposure, you will see the models of the world offered by others as lacking: basically, they don’t have much predictive power. Others can take comfort in these models, or engage in social stroking through them, but since they don’t do work—and you’re expecting useful work out of your mental model—they aren’t for you.
Seeing no world-models on offer that are serviceable, you come to that conclusion that you must labor to construct your own epistemic model of the world. Perhaps you can take some good parts of others’ models, but you can’t take anyone at their word on what parts are good; you have to test the new patterns and evaluate their worth for yourself. You have to be your own ultimate philosopher, scientist, and ethicist. You have to stand equal to those that speak of truth-patterns, participating in the ecosystem of their creation as a peer, rather than a consumer. You have to be an Übermensch.
If you don’t screw up in this journey and end up in some attractor like Nihilism or Postmodernism, you tend to crash headlong into the grey tribe, because every time you independently derive a conclusion that clashes with red/blue tribe orthodoxy, the grey tribe tends to already be there looking at the same thing:
- Conclude that you want to “vote with your dollars” for medicine with the highest-ROI health outcomes? Everything in that category gets called “life-extension research.”
- Conclude that we could have more and healthier relationships through ongoing application of ideas from psychiatry+therapy? Almost anything you can try there puts you in the “polyamory community.”
Repeat ad nauseam, for everything the “grey tribe” does. The things the grey tribe has in common look like the sort of positions you’ll tend to arrive at when you go on an individualist pattern-seeking journey, ignoring the pattern-clusters anyone else happens to be congregating around. That’s not to say the grey tribe’s ideas are objectively better in any sense—they’re just the sort of ideas Nietzscheans arrive at on their own.
Of course, it’s a presumption here that you’ll see one of the most important patterns: that if nobody else’s model is very good, yours probably won’t be either—that you’re just making do and optimizing your model because you have to to understand, rather than because you think you can get anything truly right. That’s the difference between a grey-tribe Nietzschean and a movie supervillain. Luckily, we don’t tend to see many movie supervillains; it’s actually rather hard to feel a “follower-like” reverence for one’s own constructed model. Much easier to see it like an author sees a manuscript: always in need of one more tweak.
As a side-note: I would posit that the “rationalist movement” is a particular pattern-cluster created by a bunch of ex-Nietzscheans: people who originally thought nobody had “the answer”, but after running into one-another, decided that the group of people that they met there, working together could maybe have (or create) “the answer.” There is no such thing as a Nietzschean follower, but there are people who consider themselves followers of the rationalist movement, who venerate rationalist “leaders” like Eliezer and Scott (when those are really just people who have managed to stay Nietzschean, and see themselves as peers in the Great Forum, rather than “followers” of their own considered philosophy.)
As you might expect, the people who still are Nietzscheans—and the newly-minted Nietzscheans just coming into things—feel put off by the “rationalist movement” just as much as by any other group saying it has “the answer.” Even though the rationalist movement’s “answer” is pretty good, in relative terms, a Nietzschean-by-bent cannot simply accept it, any more than they can accept any other tangled-and-opaque blob of truth-patterns.
Nietzscheans criticize the rationalist movement both because it is full of ex-Nietzscheans—people who a Nietzschean sees as “giving up” their cognitive autonomy, throwing away the ultimate goal of truth-seeking for comfort of shared context—and non-Nietzscheans, people who accepted the “wisdom” of the rationalists as equivalent to the wisdom of any other cult. (Though note that the latter was, largely, the point of the “rationalist movement”: getting non-Nietzschean follower types to at least put their faith in a world-model that isn’t brain-damaged.)
This is interesting, but I think it is very different from what I was talking about in the OP. I also disagree with it in a more general sense.
First, I’m confused by your use of the word “Nietzschean.” Admittedly I don’t know too much about Nietzsche, but I’ve read bits of Thus Spake Zarathustra and my impression was that being the Übermensch was about creating your own values (to replace those left by the death of God). This is quite different from just “coming to your own conclusions about what is true,” which seems like a much more common thing; many people try to come to their own conclusions, but few people literally invent their own values.
This is largely just a semantic point, but not entirely so. The connotations of terms like “Nietzschean” and “Übermensch” in the popular consciousness, which is consistent with the tone of Thus Spake Zarathustra, are ones of “pagan” self-assertion, radical audacity, the refusal to “bow down” to other people’s moral qualms. This is not the temperament I was trying to capture in the OP, and indeed is sort of the opposite.
The most basic experience here isn’t audacity and standing tall, but fear and cowering; you start out being overwhelmed by the smallness of your mind relative to the complexity of reality, and feel vastly uncertain about any of your mental or physical choices. This incidentally includes choices that are the default for your community, but the choice to question those doesn’t feel essential to the experience. Of course they’re questionable, like everything else, but the distinction with the emotional weight here isn’t between socially default ideas and self-created ones, but between all ideas and the reality they are trying to grapple with.
(Indeed, I personally tend to feel more guilt and uncertainty about my non-default choices than my default choices. Perhaps just for ordinary psychological reasons, but also because with default choices I feel I have a lower bound: many people do this, and some of them are unhappy, but generally it doesn’t unleash unprecedented horrors. But with new ideas no one’s tried before, who knows?)
Second, you seem to be using “grey tribe” not as Scott intended it, but as @reddragdiva and others criticized it. The “grey tribe,” like the other tribes, isn’t meant to be a set of ideas, but a big grab bag of correlated personal traits, some of which happen to be ideas. And in particular, what determines whether you’ll end up “in the grey tribe” largely involves the non-intellectual traits. So when you say things like “grey-tribe Nietzschean” you seem to be mixing up pure intellectual stances with messy “tribal” affiliations. Maybe intellectual independence will lead me inexorably to polyamory (or whatever), but it won’t lead me inexorably to drinking Soylent or saying “sportsball.” That was Scott’s point.
Now, you might ask: “okay, but how do you want me to refer to ‘the intellectual component of Grey Tribe traits’ without using the term ‘Grey Tribe’?” The answer is that there is probably no simple shorthand, which is good; we should force ourselves to clarify which positions we’re talking about and why, if at all, they’re (necessarily or contingently) related.
If “the specific complex of beliefs of libertarian tech geeks” is a natural category in the space of ideas, that would be quite a surprise, like discovering that the code of conduct at Versailles was in fact written out in Plato’s world of Forms, and thus accessible to all seekers after truth. If instead this specific complex is merely close to a natural category, we need to say what that category is, what qualities bind it together, and in particular, why almost no one but tech geeks, out of all the truth-seekers in the world, have ended up there. Confucius and J.S. Mill and A. N. Whitehead and Charles Darwin and W. V. O. Quine were all married and apparently faithful men, but maybe if they’d known how to code, or lived in the Bay Area …
Let’s look at the example of polyamory a little more. I am poly myself, so clearly I must think it’s sometimes a good idea. But I don’t think it will work for just anyone, or for any given combination of people; it’s worked for me so far, but I’m leery of generalizing much from that. I certainly don’t see how it necessarily results from “application of ideas from psychiatry+therapy.” Most therapists don’t seem to advocate it, after all, and not everyone sees “more relationships” as an appealing goal, even if it’s a possible one.
And of all the humans who have lived and sought truth, only a vanishing fraction have belonged to “the polyamory community.” Likewise, the idea that life extension research is highest-ROI is something that relatively few people believe. If you ask “why have certain people ended up in these positions?”, the answer seems to have a lot to do with the social networks they belong to and the inter-related ecology of ideas present there. Life extension research has real intellectual appeal, but it is also a machine for generating ways of selling people supplement pills, and the traditional Californian enthusiasm for “alternative approaches to wellness” provides an environment in which one has an incentive to do such things. Likewise, I can’t imagine it’s a coincidence that polyamory appeals to people who live in the city where the Summer of Love once took place.
In sum, I don’t think that “Grey Tribe ideas” are what independent truth-seekers tend to come to naturally. Most independent truth-seekers have not in fact come to them, and those that do tend to belong to the Grey Tribe (that messy social thing). This, in turn, is one of the reasons I am uneasy with the rationalist community – not because they are too confident of their truth, but because their truth looks so much like the cluster of things that social forces have already produced.
Standing in the spot where the hippies once preached free love and natural foods, having marinated all our lives in the culture they shaped, we now discover that polyamory and the paleo diet are the necessary endpoint of any free reasoning mind? It seems suspicious. My priors incline toward certain other explanations.
(via tsutsifrutsi)

